FACTORS EFFECTING ECONOMIC CRISES– A CASE STUDY OF SRI-LANKA

Authors

  • Gunjan Milind Chaudhari India Author

Keywords:

Economic Crises, Financial Markets, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Economic Decisions, Sri-Lanka

Abstract

Any financial crisis has brought with it an economic recession which is more severe and widespread than any decline in production to the level of any past years’ production, may affect the production to 50 years’ low (its depends on the gravity of situation and differs country to country). In simple words, economic growth is the increase in the inflation-adjusted market value of the goods and services produced by an economy over time. It is measured as the percent rate of increase in real gross domestic product (GDP), usually in per capita terms. This paper aims to identify the factors affecting economic crisis using case study of Sri–Lanka. The roots cause of the crisis is not only to be found in the financial sector but also in macro-economic imbalances, in regulation failures and insufficient policy coordination. Previous experience shows that the length of the crisis will be different for the financial markets, for the housing sector, for production and for employment, and that recovery could be slow, bumpy, fragile and many times take sudden U-turn. This study helps to find out the factors contributing to external debt and economic crises and required financial policies. This study is useful for understand root cause of the worsen situation and ways to manage external debt.

 

References

Alesina, A., & Perotti, R. (1996). Economic Risk and Political Risk in Fiscal Unions. European Economic Review, 40(3-5), 837-845. doi: 10.1016/0014-2921(95)00152-4

Blanchard, O., & Giavazzi, F. (2003). Macroeconomic Effects of Regulation and Deregulation in Goods and Labor Markets. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 118(3), 879-907. doi: 10.1162/00335530360698412

Bekaert, G., Harvey, C. R., & Lundblad, C. (2006). Growth Volatility and Financial Liberalization. Journal of International Money and Finance, 25(3), 370-403. doi: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2006.01.001

CBSL, 2023. The Central Bank of Sri Lanka raises the Policy Interest Rates. [Online] Available at: https://www.cbsl.gov.lk/en/news/monetary-policy-review-no-2-of2023#:~:text=The%20Monetary%20Board%20of%20the,respectively%2C%20effective%20from%20the%20close

[Accessed 03 March 2023]

Cepa, 2022. Correlation between poverty and inequality. [Online] Available at: https://www.cepa.lk/blog/the-correlation-between-poverty-and-inequality/[Accessed 03 March 2023].

CNN Report, 2022. s.l.: CNN Report.

Debtjustice, 2022. History of Debts. [Online] Available at: https://debtjustice.org.uk/history-of-debt[Accessed 03 March 2023].

CEIC DATA, 2021. Sri Lanka External Debt: % of GDP. [Online] Available at: https://www.ceicdata.com/en/indicator/sri-lanka/external-debt--of-nominalgdp

[Accessed 03 March 2023].

Claessens, S., & Kodres, L. (2014). The Regulatory Responses to the Global Financial Crisis: Some Uncomfortable Questions. Journal of International Money and Finance, 47, 263-277. doi: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2014.05.008

CGD (2018) elt and Road Initiative Heightens Debt Risks in Eight Countries, Points to Need for Better Lending Practices. Washington. USA

Fosu, A. K. (1992). Political Instability and Economic Growth: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 40(4), 829-841. doi: 10.1086/452444

Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4505509

Gerring, J., & Thacker, S. C. (2004). Political Institutions and Corruption: The Role of Unitarism and Parliamentarism. British Journal of Political Science, 34(2), 295-330. doi: 10.1017/S0007123404000087

Ho, S.-Y., 2019. The macroeconomic determinants of stock market development in Malaysia: an empirical analysis. Global Business and Economics Review, 21(2), pp. 174-193.

Ho, S.-Y., 2017. The Macroeconomic Determinants of Stock Market Development: Evidence from South Africa, Pretoria: Munich Personal RePEc Archive.

Ho, S.-Y., 2019. Macroeconomic determinants of stock market development in south Africa. International Journal of Emerging Markets, 14(2), pp. 322-342.

IMF, (2011). Stock and Looking Ahead. Retrieved from https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/Policy-Papers/Issues/2019/06/25/Strengthening-theInternational-Monetary-System-Taking-Stock-and-Looking-Ahead-46911

IMF, (2020). Policy Responses to COVID-19. Retrieved from https://www.imf.org/en/Topics/imfand-covid19/Policy-Responses-to-COVID-19

IIMF, (2019). Strengthening the International Monetary SystemTaking Stocks and Looking Ahead https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/PolicyPapers/Issues/2016/12/31/Strengthening-the-International-Monetary-System-TakingStock-and-Looking-Ahead-PP4548

Macrotrends, 2023. Sri Lanka External Debt 1970-2023. [Online] Available at: https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/LKA/sri-lanka/external-debt-stock[Accessed 30 March 2023].

Matadeen, J., 2019. Stock Market Development: An Assessment of its Macroeconomic and Institutional Determinants in Mauritius. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 9(4), pp. 197-201.

Perera, K. (2022). Sri Lanka's political and financial crisis: how did we get here and what happens next? Retrieved from https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/democraciaabierta/sri-lankaspolitical-and-financial-crisis-how-did-we-get-here-and-what-happens-next/

Publicfinance, 2022. Interest Cost Accounts for 71.7 percent of Government Revenue. [Online] Available at: https://publicfinance.lk/en/topics/Interest-Cost-Accounts-for-717-percentof-Government-Revenue-1625468514 [Accessed 03 03 2023].

Publicfinance, 2023. Sri Lanka post-default rating linked to IMF debt reduction path: Fitch. [Online] Saliya, C. A., Hooper, K. (2020). The Role of Credit Weapon and Income/Wealth Inequality: A Sri Lankan Case Study. Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Volume XV, Summer, 2(68): 425 - 436. http://cesmaa.org/Docs/JAES%20VolumeXV%20Issue2(68)Summer2020.pdf

Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4505509 Reuters, 2022. Sri Lanka hikes rates in face of record inflation, despite economic contraction. [Online]

Available at: https://www.reuters.com/markets/rates-bonds/sri-lanka-cbank-raises-ratestargets-inflation-despite-contraction-economy-2022-07-07/ [Accessed 03 March 2023].

Saliya, C. A., 2022. 4TH INTERNATIONAL RESEARCH SYMPOSIUM ON SOCIAL SCIENCES & HUMANITIES - IRSSSH 2022. Colombo, NCAS.

Saliya, C. A. (2019), Credit capital, employment and poverty, International Journal of Money, Banking and Finance, 8(1), pp.4-12. https://search.proquest.com/docview/2249669069?pq-origsite=gscholar Saliya, C. A. and Jayasinghe, K. (2016) Cultural Politics of Bank Lending for Development Financing in Sri Lanka, Journal of Accounting in Emerging Economies, 6(4), pp. 449 474. https://doi.org/10.1108/JAEE-10-2011-0040

Saliya, C. A. and Yahanpath, N (2016), Petty-Bourgeois Nationalism A case study. Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, 8(4), pp. 359 368.http://www.emeraldinsight.com/doi/full/10.1108/QRFM-04-2016-0013?mobileUi=0Saliya, C. A. and Jayasinghe, K. (2016) Creating and Reinforcing Discrimination: The Controversial Role of Accounting in Bank Lending, Accounting Forum, 40(4), pp. 235-250. Issn:0155-9982, https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0155998216300497 or http://repository.essex.ac.uk/18321/

Saliya, C. A. (2017), Doing Qualitative Case Study Research in Business Management, DoingQualitative Case Study Research in Business Management ISSN (2305-509X), 6 (12), pp. 96 111. http://www.casestudiesjournal.com/Volume%206%20Issue%2012%20Paper%2010.pdfSanderatne, N., 2011. Debt and deficit: Deficit and debt: A vicious cycle. The Sunday Times, 31 July, p. 12.

Wickramasinghe, R. (2022). Sri Lanka says it is 'bankrupt' as financial crisis ravaging the country deepens. https://www.businessinsider.com/sri-lanka-says-bankrupt-financial-crisisravages-country-debts-default-2022-7

World Bank. (2021). Global Economic Prospects. Retrieved from https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/global-economic-prospects

World Bank. (2018). Global Financial Development Report 2017/2018. Washington, DC: World Bank.

World Bank. (2006). Building Resilience: The Role of Fiscal Policy and Financial Sector Reform in Latin America. Washington, DC: World Bank. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4505509

Yartey, C. A., 2007. Well-developed Financial Intermediary. Journal of Emerging Market Fianance, 6(3), pp. 269-289.

Yartey, C. A., 2008. Determinants of Stock Market Development in Emerging Economies: Is South Africa Different? Washington, D.C: IMF.

Yartey, C. A., 2010. The institutional and macroeconomic determinants of stock market development in emerging economics. Applied Financial Economics, 20(21), pp. 1615-1625.

Yartey, C. A., 2010. The institutional and macroeconomic determinants of stock market development in emerging economies. Applied Financial Economics, 20(21), pp. 1615-1625.

Downloads

Published

2024-02-23

How to Cite

FACTORS EFFECTING ECONOMIC CRISES– A CASE STUDY OF SRI-LANKA. (2024). International Journal of Management (IJM), 15(1), 230-240. https://lib-index.com/index.php/IJM/article/view/IJM_15_01_014